“NASA has downgraded the threat level of potential city-killer asteroid 2024 YR4. It is now more likely to hit the moon than Earth, according to the latest data.

The space agency has been tweaking the odds of a potential strike from the 180-foot-wide (55 meters) YR4 all week. Those odds peaked at 1 in 32, or 3.1%, on Tuesday (Feb. 18), which was the highest impact probability NASA had ever recorded for a space object as big as YR4. However, the likelihood of a strike soon fell.

On Wednesday (Feb. 19), NASA more than halved the chances to 1 in 67, or 1.5%. Now, at the time of writing on Friday (Feb. 21), the odds are at 1 in 360, or 0.28%, according to NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies. The asteroid is also slightly more likely to hit the moon, with a lunar impact probability increasing to 1%, according to NASA’s Planetary Defence blog.”

From Live Science.