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01 / 05
Two Centuries of Increasing Paper Abundance

Blog Post | Cost of Material Goods

Two Centuries of Increasing Paper Abundance

If we're running out, why is it so cheap?

Summary: Paper has become dramatically more affordable over the last two centuries. Abundance comes not primarily from conservation or recycling but from improved knowledge and technology. The increasing efficiency of turning plentiful trees into paper is a good example of that.


In 1826, a ream of 500 sheets of paper cost about $5.00. With average wages near five cents an hour, the time price was 100 hours. Paper was precious because modern papermaking techniques had yet to be invented—we had yet to discover the knowledge needed to innovate the product.

Today, a ream of 500 much higher-quality sheets sells for $7.99 at Staples. With average wages around $36.86 an hour, the time price is just 13 minutes.

The time price of paper has fallen by 99.78 percent over the last 200 years. For the time required to earn the money for a single sheet in 1826, a worker today can obtain 461 sheets. Scarcity didn’t disappear because we conserved paper, but because we learned how to transform abundant trees into even more abundant paper.

What About Recycled Paper?

Many people assume that recycling paper saves resources. If that were true, why is recycled paper about 85 percent more expensive than virgin paper? The answer is that the United States has roughly 300 billion trees, while recycling itself consumes substantial energy, labor, and capital.

A useful question whenever someone warns that we’re “running out” of something is simple: If it’s so scarce, why is it so cheap?

Remember, abundance doesn’t come from good intentions; it comes from innovation. Over two thousand years, paper has migrated from papyrus to cotton and linen rags to wood pulp—each transition a triumph of human ingenuity over scarcity. What we consume is not trees or fibers, but knowledge encoded in matter. And the more we consume, the more we discover. That is why paper is plentiful, pencils are cheap, and light is abundant. Wealth is learning made visible, and abundance is the dividend of ideas.

Find more of Gale’s work at his Substack, Gale Winds.

FlightGlobal | Air Transport

Autonomous Flight Technology Envisioned for Large Jets

“US start-up Merlin, which has for several years been flying conventional aircraft modified for autonomous operations, is rolling out a new autonomy system intended for various types of large commercial aircraft, starting with cargo types.

The company on 14 May revealed ‘Merlin Pilot for Commercial Cargo’, a technology Merlin says incorporates AI, will handle all phases of flight and can improve aviation safety by preventing human-related accidents. The system can also enable “augmented operations”, allowing for a single pilot to be alone in the cockpit of aircraft typically operated by two pilots.

‘Merlin Pilot works alongside pilots in real-time to extend crew capabilities and scale operations beyond the limits of the traditional model,’ the company says. ‘Integrating into existing and new cargo aircraft, Merlin Pilot is designed to provide operators a practical pathway to autonomy.’

Merlin, based in Boston, envisions its technology as compatible with multiple aircraft types, including Airbus and Boeing commercial jets and a variety of military designs.”

From FlightGlobal.

USTelecom | Cost of Technology

US Broadband Delivers Faster Speeds and Lower Prices

“USTelecom’s 2026 Broadband Pricing Index (BPI) is an annual analysis of U.S. residential broadband pricing and performance. The report finds that broadband internet has delivered a consistent trend of falling real prices and dramatically faster speeds for eleven consecutive years, which stands apart from nearly every other category of household spending.”

From USTelecom.

Axios | Goods Market Efficiency

Walmart Says Faster Delivery Is Changing How People Shop

“Walmart says faster delivery is changing how customers shop, with more people using 30-minute delivery for everyday needs like diapers, cold medicine and meal ingredients, the company told Axios.

Why it matters: Retailers are increasingly competing on speed — not just price — as Walmart, Amazon, Target and grocery chains battle to become consumers’ go-to platform for urgent shopping.

Driving the news: Walmart says it can now reach 60% of U.S. households in 30 minutes or less. The capability is currently offered in Dallas, Houston, Chicago, St. Louis, Atlanta, Tampa and Oklahoma City, with plans to expand further.”

From Axios.

Associated Press | Infrastructure & Transportation

Amazon Looks to Achieve 30-Minute Deliveries

“More than 20 years after it redefined fast shipping, Amazon is preparing to raise the bar on consumer expectations again by offering to fulfill customers’ most urgent product needs in a half-hour or less for an extra fee.

The company, which revolutionized online shopping in 2005 with two-day deliveries for Prime members, is rapidly opening small order-processing hubs in dozens of U.S. and foreign cities to cater to shoppers who can’t or don’t want to wait for cough medicine to relieve flu symptoms or tomatoes for tonight’s dinner salad.

The ultrafast service, called Amazon Now, first launched in India last June. Amazon says 30-minute deliveries now are also available in urban areas of Brazil, Mexico, Japan, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom and the United States.

The mini-warehouses devoted to Amazon Now are about the size of a CVS drugstore. They stock about 3,500 products for expedited delivery, including beer, diapers, pet food, meat, nonprescription medications, playing cards and cellphone charging cables.”

From Associated Press.