fbpx
01 / 05
The Myth of the Golden Years of Housing

Blog Post | Housing

The Myth of the Golden Years of Housing

Housing amenity abundance has increased significantly since 1956.

Summary: Modern American housing offers far greater comfort and convenience than homes of the mid-20th century. Living spaces have expanded and amenities have become far more widespread. Despite higher sticker prices, rising wages have made each unit of housing less costly in time prices.


The year 1956 was remarkable. The “baby boom” was in full swing, Dwight Eisenhower won a second term in the White House, and Elvis Presley topped the charts twice. It was the year IBM unveiled the world’s first computer hard drive—a 1-ton machine, the IBM 305 RAMAC, that could store a grand total of about 5 megabytes.

It was also the year I was born. Some have suggested it was the golden year for housing; however, the facts tell a much different story. Jeremy Horpedahl, an associate professor of economics at the University of Central Arkansas and a Cato Institute adjunct scholar, completed an analysis on housing amenities and found the following:

According to Horpedahl’s findings, fireplaces are the only amenity we have less of because central heating has replaced most of them. On average, only 22 percent of homes had the amenities Horpedahl looked at in 1956; today, 82 percent of them do.

Bigger Houses, Fewer Persons per Household

Median home size has almost doubled, rising from about 1,150 square feet in 1956 to roughly 2,210 square feet today. Over the same period, average household size has shrunk from 3.3 people to 2.51. The result is a dramatic increase in living space per person—from just 348 square feet in 1956 to about 880 square feet today. That’s 532 more square feet per person, or a 153 percent increase. Had space per person stayed at its 1956 level, the typical home today would measure only about 874 square feet.

Lower Time Price per Square Foot

The median home cost about $14,500 in 1956—roughly $12.61 per square foot. With average wages at $1.85 an hour, each square foot required 6.82 hours of earning. Today, the median home price is about $420,300, or $190.18 per square foot. However, average wages have risen to $36.53 an hour (before benefits), bringing the time price down to 5.21 hours per square foot. So, while the dollar price per square foot has risen 15-fold, wages have increased nearly 20-fold. The result is the time price of housing has fallen by almost 24 percent.

Compared to 1956, we now enjoy 532 more square feet per person as well as homes packed with 3.7 times more amenities—and all of it for about 24 percent less time per square foot.

Find more of Gale’s work at his Substack, Gale Winds.

TechCrunch | Motor Vehicles

A New Insurance Product for Tesla Full Self-Driving

“Digital insurance company Lemonade is launching a product for users of Tesla’s advanced driver assistance system, known as Full Self-Driving (Supervised), which the insurer promises will cut per-mile rates by ‘approximately 50%.’

It’s one of the first products geared toward pricing insurance based on how software systems handle driving, and a sign that companies may look to create new lines of business as partial autonomy and true self-driving start to proliferate.

Lemonade said on Wednesday that it is leveraging ‘vehicle telemetry data that was previously unavailable’ thanks to a ‘technical collaboration with Tesla,’ though the insurance company declined to offer more specifics. Lemonade said it would train its own usage-based risk prediction models to determine when a driver is using Full Self-Driving or operating the vehicle themselves, and price accordingly.”

From TechCrunch.

Blog Post | Cost of Material Goods

The Steep Climb of Bicycle Abundance

Entry-level workers can get 20.9 bicycles today for the time it took to earn one in 1910.

Summary: The bicycle, once a costly luxury, has become a symbol of how innovation transforms scarcity into abundance. What began as a marvel of mechanics in the 19th century is now affordable to nearly everyone, thanks to rising productivity and human ingenuity. Over time, free markets and technological progress have multiplied access to tools of freedom and mobility.


In 1885, John Kemp Starley invented the modern bicycle with two wheels of the same size and a rear wheel connected and driven by a chain. Interest in the new innovation exploded. By the 1890s, Europe and the United States were in the midst of a bike craze. A New York Times article from 1896 gushed that “the bicycle promises a splendid extension of personal power and freedom, scarcely inferior to what wings would give.” Long before their first flight in 1903, the Wright brothers were mastering gears, chains, and balance as talented bicycle mechanics and designers.

In 1910, you could buy a basic bicycle for $11.95 from the Sears, Roebuck, and Co. catalog. This sounds like a low price until you realize that entry-level, unskilled wages were $0.11 an hour. This means that it would have taken 108.6 hours to earn the money to buy one bicycle. Today, you can buy a basic bike at Walmart for $98, and entry-level limited food service workers wages are $18.75 per hour, indicating a time price of 5.2 hours. The time price has fallen 95.19 percent. For the time required to earn the money to buy one bicycle in 1910, you get 20.9 today. Personal bicycle abundance has increased 1,990 percent.

This astonishing increase in bicycle abundance occurred while the global population increased 369 percent, from 1.75 billion to 8.2 billion. Every 1 percent increase in population corresponded to a 5.4 percent increase in personal bicycle abundance. It’s as if all the new people brought their own bicycle as well as extra bicycles to share with everyone else.

When human beings are free to innovate, they turn scarcities into abundances.

Find more of Gale’s work at his Substack, Gale Winds.

Axios | Air Transport

Walmart Expands Drone Delivery with Wing to 150 More Stores

“Alphabet-owned Wing is expanding its drone delivery service to an additional 150 Walmart stores across the U.S., stretching from Los Angeles to Miami.

Why it matters: Last-minute drone delivery of a carton of eggs or baby wipes might seem fanciful to most people. But the future is already here if you live in Dallas — where some Walmart customers order delivery by Wing three times a week.

By the end of 2026, some 40 million Americans, or about 12 percent of the U.S. population, will be able to take advantage of the convenience, the companies claim.”

From Axios.

Bloomberg | Housing

Luxury Apartments Are Bringing Rent Down in Some Big Cities

“Rents got cheaper in several major cities this past year, thanks to an influx of luxury apartment buildings opening their doors and luring tenants to vacate their old homes.

But those looking for bargains will have to be quick, since the available apartments won’t last long, developers say.

The US’s average rental rate fell 0.18 percent in November, the largest monthly drop in more than 15 years, according to real estate research firm CoStar. Driving that decline: lower rents in big cities like Austin, Denver and Phoenix, as well as vacation destinations like Naples, Florida; Asheville, North Carolina; and Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

New building openings are bringing rents down as wealthy tenants trade up, forcing landlords to drop prices for older apartments. Rents for older units have fallen as much as 11%, and some are now on offer at rates as low as homes that are usually designated as ‘affordable’ and come with restrictions including rent control and rent stabilization.”

From Bloomberg.