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Neonatal Suffering: How We Came to Care Through Data

Blog Post | Health Systems

Neonatal Suffering: How We Came to Care Through Data

Evidence-based medicine gives a voice to the voiceless.

Summary: For much of modern history, newborns endured surgeries without pain relief. Doctors wrongly believed they couldn’t feel pain. This began to change in the 1980s and ’90s, when research revealed newborns’ physiological and behavioral pain responses—leading to new standards of neonatal care. The shift was driven by the rise of evidence-based medicine, which replaced tradition and expert intuition with clinical data—ultimately transforming infant surgery and global health outcomes.


Millions of newborns or “neonates” worldwide undergo invasive surgeries in their first 28 days of life. These infants are quickly put on operating tables and cut open, tubes inserted into their bodies, scalpels, and forceps probing and manipulating their organs after just entering the world. And for decades, these newborns were conscious of their pain. For the sake of successful surgeries, neonates were often given muscle relaxers to paralyze their resistance, but they still felt the sensations of scalpel incisions, open heart surgery, and chest tube insertions.

Prior to the 1980s, it was a common misconception that newborns or “neonates” did not experience severe pain. Medical experts relied on outdated theories suggesting that newborns couldn’t experience pain due to memory limitations and because their cerebral cortex had not yet undergone myelination, the process through which nerve fibers develop the capacity to rapidly transmit pain signals. General anesthesia to fully numb the neonate from pain was considered too risky for infants at the time, making experimentation unjustifiable for most researchers.

Countering this myth, in 1987, Dr. K.J.S. Anand and Dr. P.R. Hickey found that infants who undergo operations without anesthesia reported severe stress responses with steep spikes in cortisol and adrenaline levels. In their study, neonates expressed complex behavioral responses, which proved that the infants’ attempts to resist or avoid pain when not sedated were not mere reflexes. Dr. Anand later ran a randomized trial on neonates given fentanyl and found that neonates who were given no fentanyl anesthetic not only endured severe pain but suffered from “circulatory and metabolic complications postoperatively.”

Later, in 2010, scientists discovered that the nerve endings they previously thought could not communicate pain to the brain prior to myelination were signaling pain in neonates, but at a slower rate. More progress in this field is expected to continue as studies in local and regional anesthetics show that such treatments lower neonatal overdose risks and reduce opioid use.

In 1987, the American Academy of Pediatrics deemed neonatal operations without local anesthetic unethical, and US medical practices shifted to implement neonatal anesthetic. It may seem easy to assume that the medical community must not have considered them sentient beings worthy of painless procedures. However, experimenting with infants and fentanyl is not without its risks. Thus, doctors had reason to perpetuate tradition and old expert practices of anesthetic-free procedures, even if at the cost of infant suffering.

The true impetus for change in neonatal treatment was not mere compassion but a transformative paradigm shift in medical practice. While clinical research was not new to medicine, previously, doctors often favored expert opinion by the doctors with respected practice and reputation. However, doctors like Dr. Gordon Guyatt of McMaster University made a formal push in the 1990s for “Evidence-Based Medicine” (EBM), which “de-emphasizes intuition, unsystematic clinical experience, and pathophysiologic rationale as sufficient grounds for clinical decision making and stresses the examination of evidence from clinical research.” Put another way, the opinions of individual doctors would not take precedence over evidence-backed medical research.

The previous reliance on expert opinion created biased data and a lack of standardization for procedural techniques and diagnoses. Thus, a doctor in California could perform hernia repair surgery in a technique radically different from a doctor in New York. But, as the EBM movement advocated, it is unlikely that two differing procedures have identical success rates. After realizing the benefits of prioritizing systematic reviews/meta-analyses, cross-sectional studies, and randomized control trials over the experiences of seasoned doctors, the medical community was capable of greater safe experimentation and findings. Additionally, with the onset of digitized medical records, tracking medical data over time is much faster and cheaper. Thanks to the efforts of clinical researchers and evidence favoring doctors, we live in a world filled with data and research capable of tailoring high-risk anesthetics to the infants who just entered our world.

Over the past four decades, the use of anesthesia for newborns has become more standardized in all developed countries. Furthermore, with the globalization of medical knowledge, more low and middle-income countries have access to advanced anesthetic treatments capable of safely sedating infants and preventing severe pain in operations. Digitization of medical records, remote training, and the standardization of best practices have together increased global access to neonatal anesthesia.

Furthermore, according to the Institute For Health Metrics and Evaluation, newborn deaths preventable by neonatal surgery (e.g., congenital defects and birth trauma injuries) have also been on a steep decline since the international standardization of medicine and the onset of global health initiatives. On the whole, neonatal disorder deaths are steeply declining. That’s partly a consequence of surgery—now with safe neonatal anesthetic. With more advanced medical practices and anesthetic procedures now shared with and adopted by developing countries, global inequality in infant welfare overall is decreasing.

This transformation in neonatal concern not only represents our increased sensitivity to human suffering but also demonstrates how valuing empirical research enables us to identify and prevent such harm.

Marginal Revolution | Health Systems

The Pilot for AI Prescriptions Refills in Utah Looks Promising

“The first review of the pilot for AI prescriptions refills in Utah is out and it looks very reasonable. In the 72% of cases where the AI recommend a refill at least one of two physicians agreed in 97% of cases.

In the 28% of Cases Where the AI Escalated to a Physician Without Recommending Renewal

  • When the AI declined to recommend renewal without further information, a human telehealth appointment was arranged.
  • For these patients, 69% of physician reviews agreed that the escalation was appropriate, and more information was needed to authorize a renewal.
  • In the other 31% of cases, the physician determined the escalation was overly cautious.
  • For a new system like this, overcaution is appropriate and welcome. In the long term, reducing overcaution without compromising safety would improve patient access to care, but we aren’t rushing to see that happen.”

From Marginal Revolution.

Blog Post | Income & Inequality

Was COVID Also an Inequality Pandemic?

COVID slowed but couldn’t stop the fall in global inequality.

Summary: Recent debates have framed global inequality as rapidly worsening, particularly in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Evidence from the Inequality of Human Progress Index indicates that, despite temporary setbacks, long-term declines in inequality across multiple dimensions of wellbeing have largely persisted, with global disparities remaining well below 1990s levels.


Affordability fears, talk of a “K-shaped” economy, and claims of a new Gilded Age have pushed inequality to the center of today’s policy debates. Calls for a worldwide wealth tax and other unprecedented measures are not treated as radical but as inevitable—across academianon-profitsthe press, and international organizations, including the United Nations.

The COVID-19 pandemic seemed to clinch the case. As economies contracted and progress in poorer countries stalled, it was easy to assume that decades of convergence between developed and developing countries had come to an end. The authors of one Oxfam paper, for example, proclaimed during the pandemic that “unparalleled action [is] needed to combat unprecedented inequality in the wake of COVID-19.”

New research suggests a more nuanced reality. The updated Inequality of Human Progress Index assesses how the pandemic affected progress toward a more prosperous and equal world.

The pandemic clearly slowed improvement in global living standards and interrupted the pace at which countries were becoming more equal. It did not, however, cancel out the long-term, positive trends. Even under the strain of COVID-19, its attendant lockdowns, and other forceful policy responses, global inequality across key measures of well-being remained lower than it was a generation ago.

The index looks beyond income alone. It measures inequality across eight dimensions that shape everyday life, including lifespan, child survival, nutrition, education, internet access, environmental safety, income, and political freedom. The index, which I co-authored with George Mason University economist Vincent Geloso, seeks to offer a fuller view of gaps in global development, taking into account more aspects of human well-being than any prior index of inequality.

The data show a substantial decline in global inequality over the past three decades as rising prosperity allowed poor countries to narrow gaps with rich ones. That pattern held through 2019. During the pandemic years of 2020 and 2021, progress slowed sharply and, in some areas, stalled or modestly reversed. Yet the earlier gains were not erased.

This distinction is important. COVID-19 was a severe shock. Life expectancy fell worldwide. School closures disrupted education. Economic activity and international trade declined, with especially devastating effects on low-income countries. The index reflects these setbacks. Inequality stopped falling at its earlier pace and, in some measures, edged upward slightly after years of progress. Still, the overall level of global inequality remained far below where it stood in the 1990s.

In a few areas, improvement continued even during the crisis. Internet access expanded rapidly, especially in poorer countries, reducing inequality in access to information to its lowest level on record. Faster regulatory approvals amid the pandemic helped bring more people online. In Kenya, for example, Alphabet’s high-altitude internet balloons were finally cleared in 2020, allowing rural areas to gain internet access for the first time. The project had been stalled in regulatory review for nearly two years before the crisis prompted action.

Not all the data were encouraging. Inequality in political liberty ticked up during the pandemic as many countries took a turn toward greater authoritarianism. Even with the long-term shift toward electoral democracy intact, the setback shows the importance of protecting political liberty during emergencies.

For all the turmoil, the damage across different measures of well-being was thankfully limited.

These findings complicate popular claims that the world is experiencing a runaway increase in inequality. Calls for a global wealth tax, massive new aid commitments, or other significant expansions of state redistribution often rest on the premise that trade and free enterprise have failed to deliver shared gains. The data suggest otherwise.

If anything, the pandemic highlighted how sensitive progress can be to disruptions in markets. Countries with greater economic freedom generally proved more resilient. In contrast, prolonged lockdowns and restrictions often imposed heavy costs on poorer populations, particularly in countries where remote work and online schooling were not viable options for most people.

The broader lesson is that global convergence is neither automatic nor guaranteed, but instead depends on certain conditions such as undisturbed markets, even as long-term progress has proven more robust than critics often assume.

Mistaken narratives about global inequality have real consequences. They shape public opinion and influence policymakers to embrace sweeping interventions. A more accurate assessment of recent history suggests a need for caution.

COVID-19 tested the global economy in ways few events in modern history have. It slowed human progress and exposed vulnerabilities. At the same time, it demonstrated the durability of the long-term trend toward lower global inequality. Preserving and strengthening the policies and institutions that made that progress possible, including economic and political freedoms, remains a better bet than assuming they have already failed. The gains of recent decades have left the world both better off and more equal.

This article was published in the Orange County Register on 2/1/2026.

World Health Organization | Health Systems

Global Health Gains Continue Despite Challenges, WHO Reports

“The world is falling short on health targets, with progress uneven, slowing, and in some areas reversing, according to the World Health Statistics 2026 report, published today by the World Health Organization (WHO).

While there have been meaningful improvements in global health over the past decade, with millions benefiting from better prevention, treatment and access to essential services, persistent and emerging challenges mean that the world remains off track to achieve any of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030.

The notable progress outlined in the report includes:

  • new HIV infections fell by 40% between 2010 and 2024;
  • both tobacco use and alcohol consumption have declined since 2010; and
  • the number of people needing interventions for neglected tropical diseases has dropped by 36% between 2010 and 2024.

Access to services that shape health outcomes expanded rapidly between 2015 and 2024. During this period, 961 million people gained access to safely managed drinking water, 1.2 billion to sanitation, 1.6 billion to basic hygiene, and 1.4 billion to clean cooking solutions.

Encouragingly, the WHO African Region has achieved faster-than-global reductions in HIV (-70%) and tuberculosis (-28%), and the South-East Asia Region is on track to meet its 2025 milestone for malaria reduction.

However, challenges remain. For example, malaria incidence increased by 8.5% since 2015, moving the world further away from global targets while overall progress remains highly uneven across regions.

Preventable risks continue to undermine health, slowing progress. Anaemia affects 30.7% of women of reproductive age, with no improvement over the past decade. The prevalence of overweight among children under five reached 5.5% in 2024.  Violence against women remains widespread, with intimate partner violence affecting 1 in 4 women globally.”

From World Health Organization.

Science | Health Systems

AI Is Starting to Beat Doctors at Making Correct Diagnoses

“If you walk into an emergency room (ER) in 10 years, you’ll encounter a new type of caregiver: an artificial intelligence (AI) system designed to get you a diagnosis faster and help your care team make more informed decisions. While you sit in the waiting room, you’ll be hooked up to a blood pressure cuff that’s constantly and autonomously monitored. All the while, an AI agent will be listening in while you and your doctor talk about your symptoms, ready to flag any mistakes your physician makes or suggest next steps.

This vision of AI-assisted emergency health care may soon be reality. In a new study, researchers show that a type of AI known as a large language model (LLM) often outperformed physicians at diagnosing complex and potentially life-threatening conditions, including decreased blood flow to the heart, even in the fast-moving stages of real ER care when information is limited, they report today in Science. In early ER cases, the model identified the correct or a very close diagnosis in about 67% of cases, compared with roughly 50% to 55% for physicians. And the technology is only getting better.”

From Science.