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01 / 05
More Oil or More Knowledge?

Blog Post | Energy Production

More Oil or More Knowledge?

America enjoys a virtuous circle as more knowledge gives us more oil and more oil gives us more knowledge.

Summary: The discovery of refining oil into valuable products transformed crude oil from a liability to a critical resource. Since the first successful oil drilling in 1859, global oil reserves have continued to increase. Technological advancements such as hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling have helped make the United States the world’s largest crude oil producer, illustrating how human ingenuity and freedom drive both resource discovery and knowledge expansion.


What would you rather discover: a new oil well that doubles the amount of your inventory or a way to double your gas mileage? Either discovery would double the distance you could drive your car.

Crude oil was once considered a liability rather than a valuable resource, especially by farmers or people drilling water wells. Then, Yale University chemistry professor Benjamin Silliman Jr. discovered how to refine oil into a variety of valuable products using fractional distillation – a technique developed by his father Benjamin Silliman Sr.

Many consider Silliman Sr. to be the father of American chemistry. He founded the American Journal of Science and was a founding member of the National Academy of Sciences.

In 1855, Pennsylvania entrepreneur George Bissell hired Silliman Jr. to analyze the possibility of using petroleum as a fuel for illumination. Silliman noted in his report:

Your company have in their possession a raw material from which, by simple and not expensive process, they may manufacture very valuable products. It is worthy of note that my experiments prove that nearly the whole of the raw product may be manufactured without waste, and this solely by a well-directed process which is in practice in one of the most simple of all chemical processes.

With this report, Bissell was able to create a corporation and raise the money to start drilling for oil. He hired Edwin Drake and put him in charge of drilling a well, and after many setbacks, Drake’s crew struck oil in quiet rural Titusville, Pennsylvania, on August 27, 1859.

One barrel of oil equals 42 gallons, and 7.44 barrels equals one tonne. (A tonne equals 2,204 pounds, while a ton equals 2,000 pounds.) The world currently has around 230 billion tonnes, or 1.7 trillion barrels in proven oil reserves.

What is also interesting is that the more oil we use, the more we discover. Reserves have increased 158 percent since 1980, from 93 billion tonnes to over 240 billion tonnes today. That occurred at the same time global population increased 82 percent from 4.4 billion to over 8 billion. For every 1 percent increase in population, oil reserves have increased 1.92 percent. We really have no idea how much oil the planet contains.

Global oil reserves have increased at a positive rate from 1980 to 2020.

Finding more oil is great, but finding more knowledge about how to discover more oil is even better. We use up the oil, but we don’t use up knowledge. In fact, the more knowledge you consume, the more it grows. These experiences illustrate the truth that it is knowledge that transforms atoms into resources. In fact, atoms without knowledge have no economic value.

After peaking at 9.6 million barrels per day in 1970, annual US crude oil production flattened and then generally declined for decades to a low of 5 million barrels per day in 2008. Then US entrepreneurs and petroleum engineers discovered two technologies: hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling.

Fracking is a multi-step process that has helped increase US crude oil production significantly.

US crude oil production reversed and has increased steadily since.

US field production of crude oil has seen its share of peaks and valleys since 1900.

Because of these entrepreneurs and innovators, the United States has become the largest producer of crude oil on the planet.

Nowadays, the US has the largest share of production in crude oil globally.

How about miles per gallon? The top-selling car in 1980 was the Oldsmobile Cutlass. Gas mileage on this vehicle averaged 20 miles per gallon (17 city/23 highway). By 2023, the Honda CR-V claimed the title as the most popular two-wheel drive car. The CR-V reported mileage at 31 miles per gallon (28 city/34 highway). That represents an increase of 55 percent over the 43-year period. The time required for a blue-collar worker to earn the money to buy a Cutlass in 1980 is about the same as it is today for a much safer and more comfortable CR-V.

America has energized the world by giving its citizens the freedom to discover more oil and create more knowledge. We enjoy a virtuous circle as more knowledge gives us more oil and more oil gives us more knowledge. We discover new knowledge with every new oil well that we drill. Human freedom truly is our most valuable resource.

This article was published at Gale Winds on 6/4/2024.

Bloomberg | Energy Production

Nuclear Power to Climb 44 Percent as China Tops US

“Global nuclear capacity is set to climb 44% over the next decade after years of tepid growth, spurred by growing demand for electricity and aggressive efforts to build reactors in China and India.

The world may have as much as 535 gigawatts of installed nuclear power by 2036, up from 372 last year, according to a report Wednesday from BloombergNEF. China had 59 gigawatts of reactors under construction at the end of 2025 and is on track to reach a total of 102 by the end of the decade, a figure that would propel it past the US to become the world’s biggest nuclear nation.”

From Bloomberg.

MIT Technology Review | Energy Production

Four Nuclear Reactors Hit a Big Milestone in the US

“Last year the Trump administration set a goal to see three new microreactors achieve criticality, a technical milestone establishing that a reactor can sustain a chain reaction, by the nation’s 250th birthday. And just in time, four reactors did so.

It was a lofty goal, and seeing not just three but four companies meet it is certainly a positive sign for emerging nuclear technologies at a time when the world is facing increased need to increase electricity supply…

The speed with which these companies hit this milestone is impressive, especially in an industry known for massive projects that frequently blow past deadlines and stated budgets. (Valar, Antares, and Aalo were all founded in 2023, and Deployable started in 2025.) But reaching criticality and running a reactor that can produce electricity are two totally different things…

Now, with the completion of this program, the companies will need to continue their work to make power, which could involve some big technical challenges.”

From MIT Technology Review.

BBC | Energy Production

Life of Sizewell B Extended by Another 20 Years

“A nuclear power plant on the East Coast [of England] will produce electricity for a further 20 years after a deal was reached between its owner EDF and the government.

Sizewell B, near Leiston, Suffolk, started operating in 1995 and was due to reach the end of its life in 2035, but will now continue operating until 2055.”

From BBC.

PV Tech.org | Energy Production

Solar Industry Maintains Historic Learning Curve

“The photovoltaic industry has demonstrated resilience and continued technological advancement despite significant market challenges, according to the 17th edition of the International Technology Roadmap for Photovoltaics (ITRPV), released this week at Intersolar Europe.

The comprehensive report, compiled by 38 leading international companies and research institutes spanning the entire crystalline silicon (c-Si) value chain, reveals an industry in transition—shifting toward more efficient technologies while maintaining its historical cost reduction trajectory…

A headline finding is that the PV industry’s learning rate has increased to 26% for the period from 1976 to 2025, up from 24.9% in the 15th edition. This metric, which measures the price reduction for every doubling of cumulative production, demonstrates the industry’s continued ability to drive down costs despite recent market volatility.

After experiencing dramatic price drops in 2023 and 2024, driven by overcapacity and intense competition, module prices stabilised and even increased slightly by the end of 2025, reaching approximately US$0.09 per watt-peak (Wp), up by around US$0.01 at the end of 2024…

One pressing challenge in cell manufacturing is the high silver consumption for metallisation…

One pressing challenge in cell manufacturing is the high silver consumption for metallisation. The ITRPV report reveals that the 706GW of modules shipped in 2025 consumed approximately 7,244 tons of silver—representing about 21.4% of the world’s total silver supply…

Silver consumption varies by cell technology. In 2025, TOPCon bifacial cells consumed approximately 10mg per watt at the cell level (averaging M10 and G12 formats), while SHJ cells used 12.0mg/W and TOPCon-based back contact (TBC) cells required 12.2mg/W. The higher consumption in n-type concepts stems from the use of silver for both front and rear side metallisation, compared to p-type PERC’s lower requirement of around 8.9mg/W…

The report highlighted that overall silver consumption in 2025 was significantly below 2024 levels, demonstrating that reduction efforts are working. The roadmap projects aggressive reduction targets, with TOPCon cells expected to decrease to 6.3mg/W and SHJ cells to just 4.3mg/W within the next decade. For M10 format cells, silver consumption is projected to drop from approximately 90mg per TOPCon cell in 2025 to around 60mg by 2036.”

From PV Tech.org.